The Sure Thing

There are no sure things. Except death and taxes. . . .or that you'll get NYRA credentials if you're a partner in Bliss Racing. . . . and, that no matter how many times you watch your favorite movie, the end doesn't change - George will still run through Bedford Falls and Clarence will get his wings; however, which movie is my favorite changes all the time (in this instance I wanted one that was readily identifiable to make my point, so I used an obvious choice . . . right NOW may favorite is To Kill A Mockingbird, no it's Brian's Song . . . .) OK, maybe we can agree there aren't too many sure things. 

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Another sure thing is that if you're in a Bliss partnership, there will be opportunities to visit your horse and get to know them up close and personal as the photo above demonstrates.

When it comes to horse racing, however, I do believe there are no sure things -- looking back, Secretariat might seem to have been a sure thing in his 31 length Belmont Stakes win, but before the race many people still thought Sham could beat him in the Belmont since Secretariat's sire Bold Ruler was not perceived to be anything more than a speed sire. We all know that Secretariat did win, but then just a few years later, Spectacular Bid looked to be a lock in his Belmont only to come in third -- the Bid's historic 4 year old season confirms he was undoubtedly one of the most talented horses ever to race, but even he was not a sure thing. Every time either of my favorite race horses -- Gulch and Chief's Crown -- made it to the track, I naively thought they were sure things - this was certainly not the case. As we enter the end of the 5 week triple crown holiday season, I have heard many people suggest American Pharoah is a sure thing -- after the race, they may look like prophets, but as of now I say and again after the race I will continue to say: no horse is a sure thing. I do think American Pharoah will win on Saturday, with a few horses likely to perform well, but he seems like the real deal to me -- is he as good as Spectacular Bid was? Maybe not, but even if he is, remember that the Bid lost in his Belmont try -- anything is possible and there are no sure things.

OK, how about some pictures to remind you of how nice the horses look -- they might not run to their looks, but they sure look good!

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Above are the beautiful Stephanie's Secret (grey) and Ishkabibble in her workout on the Oklahoma track -- both made it to the races, but proving the rule that there are no sure things in racing, neither were particularly good race horses despite breeding and early training that suggested otherwise.
I just thought of one more sure thing -- I am about to post my Belmont selections and I can tell you with certainty this will NOT be the exact order of finish in Saturday's race. Here are my 2015 Belmont Stakes predictions:

  1. American Pharoah

  2. Keen Ice

  3. Frosted

  4. Mubtaahij

Best of luck to American Pharoah this weekend -- we can use a triple crown winner and I hope for racing and all his connections that he gets the job done on Saturday.


Enjoy!


Mike