The Most Wonderful Time of the Year!

Merry, Merry, Merry!

I hope this brief update finds you and yours doing well as we enter into the holdiay season.  Tomorrow is Derby Eve and it features the female equivalent to the Derby, the Kentucky Oaks!  In that classic is a filly we will watch and root for since she is by Munnings, the baby daddy of our lovely Irishtocat filly born earlier this year . . . here's our 2015 Munnings fillly:

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The Oaks filly is named I'm A Chatterbox and she should be among the favorites in what looks to be almost as contentious a field as this year's Derby.  Both races appear to have a high level of quality and should be deeply competitive -- add to that the money in the pools from the "one day a year" bettors and you have a perfect storm for big payouts if you have a strong opinion or get lucky with a sentimental bet or your house numbers!  In any event, both the Oaks and the Derby look to provide a lot of fun for fans and casual observers alike!

Now, on to our horses:

Prima Attrice – The 2 year old Posse filly continues to make progress in her training with Mike at In Front training most recently letting us know that it still would be “a while” before she might be ready to go to trainer David Duggan at the race track.  As with all our horses, we will not rush them and allow her to tell us when she is ready to take on the rigors of training.  She has had her knees x-rayed and it appears they are close to closing, a developmental milestone that is necessary before intense speed training can begin.  Once the filly begins her speed works, Mike will get her up to ½ mile breezing before determining if she has matured enough to send her on to David at the track.  I have not been as mobile as I would have liked over the past few months and will be headed down in a few weeks to get some more recent pictures of her.   Please let me know if you would like to make the trip to see her at any time.   In the meantime, here is a picture of our big girl from this past winter:

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Bella Attrice – The remarkably stunning mare, and dam of Prima Attrice, has returned from Kentucky after her date with Breeders Cup Turf winner Magician (who is a son of world leading sire Galileo) and we look forward her to having a crackerjack foal for us in 2016.

Strikealinethruit & Danni – Our yearling Langfuhr filly, Danni, remains on the farm, growing and hanging out with her besties on the farm.  The solidly built filly will either be sold later this year or be put under a partnership for racing in 2016 – we’ll keep you posted on that front.  Either way, with Langfuhr getting stone cold runners mixed with Strike’s competitive fires and talent, we think she’ll make someone a very nice race horse!  Strikealinethruit is in foal to Preakness winner Shackleford for 2016 and will be back in New York within the next month.

Mia Gatto & 2015 Birdstone Colt – The strapping Birdstone colt is in Kentucky with his mama, who we are hoping to get her in foal to Itsmyluckyday for 2016.  We expect the mare and colt to be back in NY at the end of the breeding season.

Birdstone1.pngIrishtocat & Munnings filly – Irishtocat is in foal to Breeders Cup Juvenile winner New Year’s Day for 2016 – she will be back in New York by the weekend and we look forward to seeing her and her filly.

Now that you’re all caught up on our horses, let’s move on to my sentimental – often irrational -- thought processes that affect my betting the big races.   These big races often produce a number of “if he wins, I’ll feel sick” moments because I didn't bet him or her because of any one of a number of reasons.  Craziness or just sentimentality make up the initiators of these feelings of dread as the horses turn for home, so I usually make a number of sentimental bets that don’t follow my handicapping logic.  For this year’s Derby, I have a number of things that might (OK, they will) affect my betting, but not my handicapping – two very different things:

  • I’m a NY breeder and Tencendur, International Star, and Upstart are all New York breds, so I want to see them do well.
  • The man who bred Tencendur helped us buy our mare Dixie Bluebell many years ago and that horse is trained by George Weaver who trained a horse last year for us – multiple ties makes Tencendur a sentimental favorite.
  • My numbers are 4-2, and with a 20 horse field I will also need to cover the 12 and the 14 horses.
  • Last Spring I was at an event at Keeneland where I met a very nice couple excited about a Giant’s Causeway horse they had sold, and it turned out to be Carpe Diem.  I want to see them do well!
  • In the Oaks, I’m A Chatterbox, is by Munnings and her winning the Oaks might help us on the future sale of our Munnings - Irishtocat filly.
  • Firing Line, Frosted, and International Star have shown the quality and grit I like to see in Derby runners and I’ll be pulling for the hard-knockers who don’t get the respect they deserve.  Who doesn't root for underdogs?
  • Our friend Rita was involved in the selection of Dortmund, so for her and her friends, I’ll be rooting for him – for me, it also helps that Dortmund is by now NY-based sire Big Brown.
  • Upstart was the horse I picked as a 2 year old to be my Derby horse – I pick one every year and get off that horse for one reason or another, so I need to stick with him, don’t I?? 
  • The Wood Memorial – the NY prep race – seemed to be one of the stronger races along with the Dortmund/Firing Line race – if I trust my instincts, I would have to bet on the ones coming out of those races, right?  Tencendur, Frosted, Firing Line, Dortmund – right???

Did you notice the increase in question marks? It gets confusing when you can’t pick an irrational tactic to seize upon for your betting strategy – I just used the word seized and Carpe Diem means seize the day, is that significant??!! – uh-oh, the crazy meter is spiraling upward.  Given all the distractions in my thinking, I do try to handicap – really – below are my selections based on my handicapping for this year’s races:

Kentucky Oaks

1. Condo Commando

2. Lovely Maria

3. Stellar Wind

4. I'm A Chatterbox

Kentucky Derby

1. Upstart

2. Frosted

3. Firing Line

4. Tencendur

 Our friends Pete, John, and Seamus will be in attendance at this year’s Derby so we wish them extra luck in their wagers and all the best as they enjoy what will most likely be multiple Woodfords!

Best of luck to all in this most joyous of seasons.  I wish all you and yours a safe, happy, healthy  . . . and prosperous Triple Crown season.

Merry, Happy, Merry to You!

Mike

 

 

Editor's Note:  For anyone looking to use a Web site developer, I would suggest not going with Web Instinct since they don’t support the products they provide as developer.  This entry had to be written 3 times since the save function seemed not to be working on the posting function.  Rather than look for the lost information, they blamed the third party vendor on the blog update and told me to use Word rather than the tool paid for as part of the Web site . . . .their utter lack of responsibility and ownership is not something you should ever have to work with.  Don’t use them.